Global Bases for a Global Britain?
The Secretary of State for Defence has used an interview
with the Daily
Telegraph to announce a substantial change in the UK’s defence posture
which may lead to the opening of new permanent bases in the West Indies and the
Far East. While it is perhaps a little unusual to see such a major policy shift
trailed via a national newspaper interview, and not through the medium of a major
defence policy document such as the MDP, it is potentially an intriguing development.
Few subjects appeal more to the online defence debating
community that follows UK military matters than the subject of overseas bases.
There is a strong emotional attachment to the idea that the UK should reopen
and possess overseas forces in ‘proper’ bases, which will permanently house
garrisons and ships to do a myriad of jobs. Attempting to provide scrutiny into
what the role of these bases would be usually falls by the wayside though…
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Strategic Airlift - vital to delivery of effective basing - Image by Ministry of Defence; © Crown copyright |
The UK has a long history of deploying its armed forces
overseas on a permanent basis. The Empire saw the acquisition of sites linked
to critical strategic choke points, or coaling stations- for instance Gibraltar, Singapore and the Falkland
Islands. During Imperial times bases were used to house garrisons, often for
many years at a time. Even in the post war years as decolonisation gathered
speed, the UK retained facilities across the world. For example the RAF maintained
bases in Pakistan and the Middle East into the 1950s to permit access to the Far
East for air force units.
Until the late 1960s the UK maintained a large presence in
Singapore and Malaysia designed to protect wider national interests, support
residual colonial interests and protect newly independent nations. The so-called
‘confrontation’ with the Soviet supported Indonesian forces remains a widely forgotten
but often extremely violent legacy of this time.
The decision to withdraw forces from across the globe and instead
focus on NATO defence in the late 1960s and early 70s saw the closure of a range
of facilities, many of which went on to live second lives with other nations. By
the end of the 1970s the UK had largely completed its post-colonial withdrawal,
with the departure from Malta in 1979 perhaps representing the end of this era.
The recall of the legions though did not mean the end of the
overseas presence, and since 1979 the UK’s overseas footprint has, if anything,
increased. Today the UK maintains permanent basing facilities of one form or
another across the globe to help support operations.
The model that emerged over time was of a curiously British
combination where some facilities (Cyprus, Gibraltar and Brunei) remained
permanent ‘garrison’ facilities housing troops on accompanied postings with a long-term
commitment to that location. Other locations such as the Falkland Islands are regarded
for most personnel as an unaccompanied deployment for about 6 months. There are
a small number of isolated outposts, for instance Diego Garcia and Singapore,
housing facilities and a small number of staff, but not permanently assigned
units.
What characterises these locations is that they are all regarded
as long-term facilities and funded as such. They have long term investment plans,
accommodation and personnel assigned to go to them fill roles that the MOD has
determined need manpower to cover them (e.g there is a list of jobs for each
service to help determine headcount requirements, and the posts at these sites
usually feature on this list).
By contrast many of the deployments undertaken overseas,
many of which became enduring for many years, do not have the same level of
permanency. For instance, even though the RN was deploying multiple escorts
into the Gulf from 1980 onwards, it did not feature as a standing military
task, and no permanent facilities were created to support this work. This led
to a variety of temporary solutions, for both support and maintenance – such as
the creation of Forward Logistics Sites (FLS) in places like Bahrain and Mombassa.
Similarly, the RAF found itself making use of many
interesting and varied airfields around the world – particularly in the Middle
East. Despite operating detachments out of these locations, they were never
made or intended to be permanent operating bases.
The British way of expeditionary warfare then seems to be
characterised as a combination of long term ‘post imperial presence’ in areas
where it either retains sovereignty of a facility, or a very low key and benign
relationship with the host nation. Or it is operating out of an often austere
and short-term facility borne at risk on top of existing manpower and
operational requirements to meet a specific operational goal. The UK has for
many years shied away from establishing wider ‘bases’ globally, preferring instead
to rely on host nation support.
Bases overseas offer both benefits and constraints. While it
is easy to look and suggest that it makes sense to have forces and equipment to
hand in one location, when you look up to the wider perspective, this may not
always be the right outcome for the UK.
In opening a base facility overseas, a number of issues need
to be considered. Firstly, who owns the land you plan to work from, and what
impact will this have on your ability to operate effectively? In practical
terms, can you do what you want with your armed forces based there, or does the
host nation have constraints and powers of veto on their use?
Developing an effective agreement to permit the basing and operating
of military personnel in another country is not easy. You have to solve many
difficult legal issues, ranging from the mundane to the very serious. If the UK
were to open a base facility in a country that was not UK sovereign territory,
would it be able to reach agreement on the best way to use this facility? Will the
host nation allow unrestricted access to its port and airspace for shipping &
aircraft movements or does the UK need permission each time it wants to sail?
The expectations of the host nation need to be considered
too – if they allow you to build a military facility, what do they want in
return? Are they seeking assurance and protection, or do they expect you to
support them in all they do? In the event of civil disorder, or an uprising,
will they expect British personnel on the streets to protect the Government?
There are a great many legal questions that need to be considered
when looking to open a permanent base. There is also the challenge of
maintaining relationships – if you put a certain level of capability into a
facility (say a warship and squadron of jets), then this becomes the ‘new normal’.
E.g. the hosting nation will regard this as the default setting for the state
of the Defence relationship. It makes it harder to dispatch troops or units on
other tasks without implying the commitment is being reduced to the host nation.
Similarly, permanently basing units in another country means
it is harder to cut them without damaging bilateral relationships. They very
much become a hostage to fortune – for the French, it is now impossible for
them to withdraw their Rafale squadron from the UAE without sending a clear
message that they do not value their bilateral relationship as much anymore.
This may work for the UAE, but is it in the long-term strategic interest of France
to be tied up in this manner?
The advantage of the UK approach to date has been
flexibility in not being too proscriptive about force levels, allowing it to
ebb and flow units across the world – by contrast France has found that in deploying
certain units and capabilities permanently, particularly to the Middle East,
they have become something of an tethered goat – offering less value and influence
than may expected because the host nation expects them to be there regardless.
There are wider logistical, and personnel challenges
associated with establishing new bases too. In the 50s and 60s the model of
basing a family overseas made sense – usually soldiers were the sole earners in
the family and the wives would be expected to raise the children. Today the
notion that the Forces member is the sole earner in the family, or that their
partner can, or wants, to move overseas for two - three years and put their
career on hold is a much harder sell.
Finding volunteers for overseas service in the right rank
brackets may be a bit of a challenge – its one thing if you are an older
officer approaching retirement and with the kids in university to want a defence
attaché posting. If you have a partner with a career and young children, three
years abroad may be a bad move – and potentially career ending.
The alternative of relying on people for isolated tours,
such as seen in Diego Garcia, may work for a short while, but places pressure
on the system to find the manpower. These facilities will be opened on top of existing
manpower pressures, so finding people to staff them means either securing a
very long-term manpower uplift, stopping doing something else entirely, or
gapping a post. This potentially places a lot of pressure on an already taut career
model.
People may well not want to regularly go overseas for 6-8
months to a foreign base for a deployment. What starts as a positive one-off
tour quickly pales into frustration and boredom if they keep returning to the
same location and are separated from their family. A major challenge for posts
in the Gulf has been the pressure felt by the MCMV community, many of whom are
on their 5th or 6th tour of Bahrain now. Opening
additional bases will only increase this pressure.
There is a wider issue too with the nature of what the bases
will exist to do. By their very nature they will likely need stores facilities,
access to airports and munitions stowage and all the other elements required to
support a military force. Ensuring that this setup does not interfere with
existing military missions, nor reduce availability of stores in a crisis
because they are held in the wrong place will be important. As critical as
access to the base will be the assurance that the existing defence logistics
supply chain can get people and material in and out of the facility without challenges
– which in turn reminds us of the need to resolve the complex legal issues
around basing in a foreign country.
Finally it needs to be worked out where the money is coming
from the pay for this, and what gives as a result. Building military bases and
ensuring they meet UK defence standards are not cheap. Given the wider financial
pressures on the defence budget, either more money is required to open entirely
new facilities, or major cuts will be required elsewhere to pay for it.
Regardless of the challenges and constraints of establishing
and operating the base, the bigger question is simply – what will they do and
why do we need them? It was suggested that two facilities will be opened, one in
the West Indies and one in the Far East.
In the West Indies the most likely roles to support are recovery
from hurricanes and supporting wider counter narcotic efforts. There is already
a substantial facility in Belize which hosts training courses for the Army. The
RN and RFA have focused on a model of using vessels such as an RFA BAY Class to
forward deploy into the region, doing refits locally supported by occasional deployments
of River Class or Type 23 frigates.
The biggest opportunity a base would offer would be to
provide some kind of refit and stores facility, combined with access to training,
and an airfield for flying in humanitarian aid for loading as required. Such a
facility would need to be outside the traditional hurricane landing points to
prevent it being wiped out, and also not too far outside of the area to make it
difficult to sail quickly to provide help.
Therefore any structure would need to offer stores, access for
RAF aircraft and an ability to house a rapidly expanded force. It would probably
want to house DFID supplies and also provide accommodation and communications
facilities for an HQ element too.
There is a long tradition of training the local coastguards and forces in the region – for instance the RN used to provide a Lt Cdr to a
senior role in the Turks & Caicos islands to head up their maritime force. A
well designed facility could function as a hub for a small training team to
help improve capacity in the local regions security forces.
The RN used to have a facility that had the space to do much
of this – it was called HMS MALABAR and was based in Bermuda. It closed in 1993
(but even then still had 30 RN staff based there). The real estate has long
since been sold off though and no UK facilities exist on the remaining overseas
territories in the region.
The question for the West Indies though is ‘what does having
a base give us that doesn’t already exist’? The UK enjoys access to a variety
of ports in region, particularly in the US, and can in a crisis stage through
many of the airfields as required. While a national facility may be a ‘nice to
have’ it is difficult to understand what it would provide in terms of capability
that cannot already be done with existing resources and capabilities present in
the region.
This is not to say that creating a coherent central location
to bring this all together is not a bad idea. It provides opportunities to
create better defence relationships, improve links to local defence forces and
helps send a clear signal to the region that the UK continues to play a visible
and active part in regional security. The West Indies is instinctively pro
British, and HM The Queen remains the Head of State for many islands in the
region. Committing forces locally in the manner of the Dutch and French militaries
may be a useful and timely reminder of the links the UK has to the region.
The location will be key though – while the SofS suggested
Montserrat, given the large and rather active volcano present on the island,
this may not be a good location long term (unless of course SofS aspires to
having his own hollowed out evil volcanic lair…). The UK has done an increasing
amount with Guyana in recent years (and the former HMS ORWELL
still serves in their navy as its sole vessel).
In the Far East the UK already enjoys defence facilities in
both Singapore and Brunei. In the former the UK has a small wharf complex with
the second largest naval fuel depot in the Asia Pacific region (after Pearl
Harbour), inherited when the RN withdrew in 1971. This facility has proven its
value many times over the years, both from functioning as a revenue generating petrol
station (the fuel available is often provided at cost to allies, helping turn a
profit for the Treasury), and in providing a good location for stores.
During OP PATWIN HMS ILLUSTRIOUS was able to use the facility
to restore and take on the disaster relief mission prior to heading to provide
aid to the Philippines. Similarly, as the RN has returned to the Asia Pacific
region, there have been an increasing number of RN visits to the facility,
which also provides berthing for FPDA vessels too. HMS ARGYLL has recently used the facility to conduct a mid
deployment stand down, allowing several weeks alongside for repairs – as seen
in this Royal
Navy news story.
In Brunei the UK provides a garrison force, graciously paid
for by His Majesty the Sultan of Brunei, to help provide security. Built around
a Gurkha infantry battalion, supported by a helicopter flight and supporting
arms, the small garrison of around 1000 personnel provides a useful acclimatised
‘theatre reserve’ for the Asia Pacific rim, and can be used to send troops locally
in a variety of roles.
The UK has expressed considerable interest in increasing its
commitment and presence to the Asia Pacific region, and it is likely that any
new facility would be adding to the capabilities already held locally. In practical terms it would seem realistic to
expect an enhancement of facilities in both countries rather than an entirely
new facility, although it is not clear whether this would be supported by extra
units. For instance, would the RAF look to conduct more deployments out to the
Asia Pacific region using Singapore as a hub?
Perhaps the best way to look at both facilities is in the
context of the adoption of a so-called ‘lily pad’ model. The MOD appears to
have settled on a structure built around a number of permanent base facilities
around the globe, able to provide access, support, stores and other essential
requirements to enable the wider deployment and operation of UK armed forces units.
An example of this is the Naval Support Facility in Jufair,
Bahrain, where the base is built around accommodation, wharves, warehouses and
workshops – all designed to support and enable the onward operation of units
for other missions.
The proposed structure that is emerging will ensure that the
UK has access to a permanent facility in each of the major regions of the
world, able to host and support operations as necessary. In many ways this is
not really a change from current arrangements, albeit slightly more formalized
and possibly enhanced in nature.
If you look forward a few years then it is possible to see a
coherent British operational approach built around three mutually supporting
pillars – home defence, forward bases and operational deployments.
Home defence would cover the units based in the UK for
routine duties from shooing away drones to providing EOD or Counter Terrorism
capability. Units deployed in forward bases would be on duties ranging from deterring
the Russians in Eastern Europe, to supporting operations in the Gulf or Far
East. Finally operational deployments covers units deployed away from home as
part of a specific operation name (e.g. TELIC).
This move would be supported particularly by the Royal Navy
who are moving to a model of making better use of forward deployed facilities
to ensure that the Type 31e will spend much of its life away from home in
locations like Singapore. Speeches by the First Sea Lord have highlighted the
considerable ambition that exists to do more with these units, while at the
same time generating a Carrier Strike Group to conduct high end operations.
It is early days though, and policy ideas proposed through
the medium of a newspaper interview will
probably take a long time and a lot of refinement to pass through the Whitehall
machinery. It will take time to work out where to open the facilities, to build
them and to ensure that they are able to not only support MOD goals, but also across
Whitehall as well.
It is realistically going to be several years until anything
concrete emerges, but in the interim this statement of aspiration is a helpful
way of signalling to these regions that the UK remains a global player, that it
wishes to take a renewed interest in their regions, and that it wishes to stay
permanently. Whether all the nations in these regions will welcome this though
remains to be seen.
My first thought on this was dear God, no, but upon further reflection I think it's considerably worse than that and possibly the worst idea I've heard for many years. We are already approaching parity between RN bases (of various guises) and the active warships to use them, this would push it over the top. The MoD budget already is stretched with the existing estates, building extra bases for little benefit is lunacy. When you factor in that an additional base in the far East will tie us in to any future war there and the idea is breathtakingly dangerous. We are not in a position to charge in and defend a base against Chinese or even much smaller states' aggression, so we are creating a hostage situation which everyone will take advantage of. The advantage of ships is they're floating bases of sovereignty, building permanent bases destroys the advantage of mobility when times are getting tough and a relocation makes sense.
ReplyDeleteMy view will hinge very much on what kind of new facilities or improvements to existing ones they have in mind.
DeleteI would agree that full-scale bases to rival Cyprus or Bahrain would stretch thin resources and not offer sufficient advantages as a return.
Limited improvements in Singapore and a small set-up of warehouses and wharf's in for instance Guyana to allow for the propositioning of military stores and humanitarian aid as well as enhanced training opportunities with regional allies is something i would be more open to.
I have none of the "emotional attachment" to overseas bases that some other people seem to display - this was part of the reason why I supported the idea of CVF way back when. Now that we have CVF and still have a few amphibs and the RFA, why are we looking for bricks and mortar bases in other peoples countries, again?
DeleteThe word "bases" is open to interpretation. I hope these turn out to be just logistics hubs, perhaps extending to the forward deployment of mission packages that a Type 26 can come and pick up. But I firmly agree with Humphrey's often stated view that a flexible, as-needed, defence presence that does not, for instance, permanently tie down a fughter squadron in the UAE, is and always has been the way to go.
I agree the word base is a loose one, which could mean different things to different people, if Type 31 is going to be forwarded deployed most of it's working life then facilities will need to be upgraded to reflect that, so slightly larger warehousing, accommodation and workshops on the site of the existing facilities in Singapore could meet the criteria of establishing a base. But the word is also loaded with symbolism, bases have to be defended, they convey permanence, you lose a base and you're 'kicked out', you don't renew a lease on a wharf and no one knows nor cares. What are we getting into, for what benefit and what's our exit strategy should it not work out? This whole interview has the smell of decision making on the hoof, without a coherent set of answers behind it. The fact that two different sites were mentioned in the far East without anything from their governments to show they had been involved in conversations makes me very suspicious that this is an idea which has been floated for political gain rather than a practical course of action. At the very least I would have expected there to be discussion held at cabinet level as to the writing of this 'blank cheque' to the defence of the far East, so why is there no mention of cabinet approval to start government to government negotiations? I hope I'm wrong and this is a soft release of an official government policy, but if the SoS for Defence has been making commitments without approval, he has to go.
DeleteIaneon
ReplyDeleteI'm a little unclear what your point is?
Military personnel will go where they are ordered, as they have always done. Unlike in the past, if they (or their partners) don't lke it they will simply resign during or after their posting. In a force that struggles with retention, surely this is something that defence leaders should be weighing up in their calculations?
I write as the husband of a former diplomat - another career that has huge retention problems largely caused by the posting cycle.
Paul
Sir H
ReplyDeleteFinally, Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to you and all your tribe.
I greatly enjoy your thoughtful musings on dfense-related matters, even though situated on the other side of the globe. Keep up the good work in 2019.
Now,off for a quick dip before beer o'clock...
Paul
Happy New Year to you too Paul, hope it's a good one for you and yours.
DeleteI'm sure there will be much to discuss in 2019!
Ianeon
ReplyDeleteSitting in a warehouse on a remote island for 3 years is how "the pointy end".
And the reality now is your wife won't go and will divorce you if you do.
How = hardly
ReplyDeleteStupid auto correct
And in those days there were a lot less technical and educated positions in the military, and in the modern military if the guys and gals can see a similar job, technical or otherwise, with less repetitive bullshit and deployments, then they will leave. The modern military is competing with industry to get and retain the right people. The military of the 50s/60s and 70s have long gone. We have less people, but statisticialy, more commitments. I joined in the 80s and left in 2014, so have seen both sides of the older and now more modern military, and while our people join for the right reasons, if you want someone to have a full career, rather than a few years service(after upwards of 4 years training trade dependant) the they have to be treated right.
ReplyDeleteUnknown: It's interesting to get the viewpoint of a relatively recent leaver. In your opinion how big an influence does the requirement to frequently relocate have on people deciding to leave the services?
ReplyDelete