My my my a JOA... Thoughts on the 1st Sea Lords First TV Interview
In his first television interview since taking up the post
of First Sea Lord just over two and a bit years ago, Admiral Jones has confirmed
that a ‘Joint Operations Area’ (JOA) has been established in the North Atlantic
to counter the growing Russian threat.
This was interpreted by some as meaning that the Royal Navy
would be expanding to meet this new commitment, whereas in reality the establishment
of a JOA is unlikely to see any short-term tangible growth in the size of the Navy.
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Image by Ministry of Defence; © Crown copyright |
What is a JOA?
In purely doctrinal terms (available
in the MOD Joint Doctrine Publication, JDP01 here),
the definition of a JOA is very straightforward:
An area of land, sea and airspace defined by a higher authority, in
which a designated Joint Task Force Commander plans and conducts military
operations to accomplish a specific mission. A Joint Operations Area including
its defining parameters, such as time, scope and geographic area, is
contingency/mission specific.
In practical terms this move
means that the MOD is now treating operations in the North Atlantic like it
does in other parts of the world, whereby units assigned to operate within the
region will be better able to work together to achieve a specific purpose.
An example of this is the way that the UK exercises commands of military operations in the Middle East. The Chief of Joint Operations (CJO) at PJHQ as a 3* is the Joint Commander, delegating day to day responsibility for the maritime presence to the UK
Maritime Component Commander, based in Bahrain. This 1* RN post is responsible
through a local battlestaff to exercise command and control over RN forces
based across the region to deliver a range of specific outputs and effects. He
has the overall control of these forces locally and is responsible for exercising
that control to ensure his forces are disposed and available in a manner that
ensures they can meet the mission placed on them by the MOD.
The advantage of declaring a
JOA is that it helps fuse together a variety of strands of work and ensures
that they are woven together for greater effect. For instance, it is much
easier to ensure that logistics support is provided and prioritised when linked
to a specific operation, or to decide that when bidding for assets to deliver
support, to assign them to Operation X rather than nonspecific localised
training.
It also makes it easier to have an
understanding of the totality of operations in a region and provide support for
them to co-ordinate this work. For instance, under the old model it would
theoretically have been possible to see different ships, aircraft and other
units all working in the same space, possibly under subtly different chains of
command or organisational structures, and not privy to the same operational direction
and support. The new structure means that all forces working in the same space
will be far more effectively co-ordinated, helping tackle the threat in a more
coherent manner.
Very few people say ‘hooray
for process’, but this is one of those decisions which should hopefully make
the RN a more effective organisation at preparing to tackle inappropriate activity
by Russian forces. It will hopefully ensure that the UK is much more effective
at mustering its assets in the North Atlantic region in a coherent manner, and in
employing them effectively to meet threats as they emerge.
Wider Implications
What it does not mean though,
at least in the short term is more ships. The UK has, along with many other
nations, taken something of a strategic risk in ASW over the last 15 years or
so, with the reduction in ASW frigates, poor SSN availability over many years
due delays with ASTUTE and accidents, the loss of the Nimrod MR2, the reduction
in numbers of the Merlin force and the general loss of institutional knowledge
of how things were done in the Cold War.
The RN is emphatically not
alone in taking these decisions, many other navies did likewise when it
appeared that the threat from Russia had significantly diminished. The
challenge now though is to rebuild the knowledge required to do ASW again,
against a first-rate opponent who builds very good platforms and has shown a
contemptuous disregard for the rules of international law.
Any fleet expansion will take
years to deliver though, with the Type 26 still some years away from entering service,
and at present seemingly little spare cash available to deliver additional
hulls in the programme (hence the genesis of the Type 31e design). The older
Type 23s are now getting elderly and fragile, and some are still the best part
of two decades away from paying off. There is not much else that can be done to
enhance availability of hulls.
The only other option really
open to the RN is to radically shift how it does business, away from the model run
since the 1990s of globally deploying frigates to support standing tasks, and
instead concentrate the core ASW force in the North Atlantic, remove escorts
from doing roles like KIPION and instead refocus the RN as an ASW force with a carrier
task force to go on global strike tasks.
Whether the RN is willing to look
down this route, keeping the higher end escorts focused on these duties, and make
the RFA and Type 31e the flag bearer of choice abroad is not clear. But, it
seems likely that the days of seeing ASW T23s doing global tours are probably ending.
It will pose an interesting
question for the RN though as it looks to prioritise resources and hulls over
the next few years. What is more important – is it supporting a UK ‘global Britain’
tour in Singapore and East Asia, or is it delivering support to ASW operations
in the North Atlantic? These require different platforms with different
capabilities, and in turn this drives a lot of decision making on what equipment
should be purchased and how the fleet should be structured.
More widely the very public
statement of a JOA helps draw public attention back to the growing security challenges
faced within the NATO area of responsibility. By highlighting that the UK is
investing effort and resources in tackling the submarine challenge, it
reassures the US (who has likewise reactivated 2nd Fleet for similar
reasons) and sends a message to other NATO nations that they too need to take
this seriously.
With the NATO summit looming,
and with stakes higher than ever about the long-term credibility of the Alliance,
it will be a useful announcement to make to underpin the UK’s continued
commitment to ensuring North Atlantic security. Whether other nations see this
as a chance to commit their forces to support this work (noting that the JOA’s
parameters have not been publicly announced) and start to rebuild coalition ASW
operations is not clear. Pledging forces to support this work would be an easy win
for European NATO member states keen to demonstrate the value they place on the
Alliance.
Engagement with the Media
It is somewhat depressing though
that this announcement marks only the first time that Admiral Jones has conducted
a television interview during his time in post. There is a lot that the RN can
rightly point to over the last two years as an example of ‘good news’, be it the
acquisition of world class equipment, the relentless operational tempo across
all of the worlds oceans, or the efforts of some exceptional people to support
operations, often in very demanding conditions.
The silence emanating from the
centre doesn’t help make the case for the Royal Navy or the value of maritime power.
In a world where the RN is faced with major challenges, both structural and
financial, it is essential that the case is made robustly for maritime power at
every opportunity. Being a ‘silent service’ may be a romantic ideal, but it is
not the best way to highlight the work of a globally deployed organisation of
over 30,000 people.
While there are doubtless some
in the defence media world who would dearly love social media to disappear, for
reporters to ask friendly questions in the manner of the film ‘Hot Fuzz’ press
conference (so Admiral Bloggs, describe your perfect Sunday’) and for all press
releases to be reprinted verbatim without being held to account, the reality is
the world has moved on. Deferential press treatment is not given as a right. It
must be earned – and this is not done by hiding away from the world, pretending
that the media doesn’t exist.
Timely engagement with
organisations, loudly proclaiming the great work you are doing, robustly
defending the organisation you work for and fielding and effectively rebutting
difficult questions is essential. The relative invisibility of senior leadership
doesn’t build reassurance for juniors – Humphrey has often listened to friends
serving feel upset that media coverage inaccurately portrays what is going on
in their Service, yet despair that no one senior seems to step up and debunk
these myths. Part of leading your people is being willing to publicly stand up
to the public and push your case for them at every opportunity, even if that
means having people in the media ask you uncomfortable questions.
The nations taxpayers deserve
to hear first-hand, on as regular a basis as possible about the case for
Defence, and why nearly £40bn of taxpayers money is used to fund it. One must
hope that this is not the only TV interview given, that it marks a real change
of campaign approach by the Media world and that we will see a lot more of
senior military figures talking publicly, but appropriately about the brilliant
work done by the men and women of the MOD and Armed Forces. They deserve every
opportunity given to praise their courage and commitment, and that can only be
done by entering the lions den, not hiding behind the barricades of Main
Building.
You frequently mention that recruitment & retention are major issues facing the RN. Personally I would find pinging the North Atlantic for weeks on end, however strategically necessary, less appealing than runs ashore in Singapore or Sydney.
ReplyDelete(I assume modern sonars don't actually go "ping")
If we were to list things that could be done in the relatively short term to boost ASW, we could: 1. Take the Merlin airframes out of reserve. 2. Equip more T23s with Towed Array. 3. Buy more P-8 airframes or Triton drones. 4. More difficult to imagine but easy enough to do, buy a few German or Japanese SSKs. We should do these things.
ReplyDeleteI'm not sure I'd be buying German SSK's right now, there availability record is not the best!
DeleteApologies for my spelling.
DeleteIf the frigates are already so few that we must contemplate ring fencing their role to patrolling the GIUK gap, this problem will only get worse in the future with an even smaller number of T26s available (we currently have 13 T23s and even those hulls that don't have a TAS are still better at this because they are quieter by design than a 45, or a 31 will be).
DeleteThis also highlights the strategic mistake embodied in the T26 design: it's a "global combat ship" with capabilities that make it an excellent independent cruiser but simultaneously an awful ASW asset because cruising the world takes it away from its primary function of escorting the carrier, supporting CASD deployments, patrolling the gap, etc.
I hear and agree with thd problem of retention in the frigate fleet if their lives are now to be limited to "pinging" the North Atlantic... but possibly a far greater move to reducing that problem would be an end to 9 month deployments, an increase in the RN's manpower ceiling, two more T26s and a restructuring of the training regime to allow people to acquire useful qualifications rather than the navy only training them for specific tasks, which no doubt feels very limiting and controlling... as if you're being kept in a box.
I would not even be contemplating SSKs at this point. Even if it were feasible financially (unlikely) it would take a decade or more to implement. The new equipment programme is overheated as it is and the last thing we need is another expensive project brought into the mix which would have massive implications for the submarine service as a whole including manpower, training, support tail and infrastructure. By far the best option would be to order an 8th Astute, although it is probably too late to do this now.
DeleteExactly right. If your leader isn't out making the case for your organisation they aren't doing their job. Propaganda, in the loosest sense, is a military activity and if you aren't controlling the narrative then someone else will be. The easiest enemy ship to eliminate is the one which your opponent decided not to build because they thought what's the point?
ReplyDelete