The Ship That Never Was - USS SHANGRI LA and the Royal Navy
The Royal Navy has recently returned to operating multiple
strike carriers at sea after a gap of almost 50 years. The news that both HMS
QUEEN ELIZABETH and PRINCE OF WALES are operational and able to embark and
operate the F35 jets is a welcome signal that the Royal Navy retains its place
as one of the worlds most powerful and capable navies.
This return to capability marks the ending of a story that
dates back to the 1960s, and the cancellation of the planned aircraft carrier ‘CVA-01’
which would have been the then next generation of carrier for the RN. The decision
to cancel the ship and then withdraw from the fixed wing carrier business in
the 1960s tore the heart out of the Royal Navy, which had spent the 20 years
since WW2 building itself as a ‘carrier navy’.
The shockwaves of its cancellation led to massive changes in
the fleet, which in turn helped set in motion a chain of events that resulted
in the restructuring of the RN as an ASW force in the Eastern Atlantic for the
remainder of the Cold War. The evolution of the resulting construction
programme led to the creation of three ‘INVINCIBLE’ class light carriers
intended for ASW operations, and with a limited fixed wing capability.
After HMS EAGLE paid off in 1973, the Royal Navy spent the
next 48yrs without two large carriers at sea capable of embarking significant numbers
of jets. Yet it could all have been so different had events taken a slightly
different turn.
Files in the National Archives in Kew, London have confirmed
that in the 1960s, the Royal Navy was offered the loan/sale of up to 3 ‘ESSEX’
class carriers, to bridge the gap between the old carrier force paying off, and
the new one arriving.
The file is a fascinating read and contains many apt lessons
for the modern RN and Defence – this article is an attempt to briefly tell the
tale of the ships that never were and the lessons that this may hold for the
future.
In very broad terms the story of the CVA01 project until 1966
is that of the RN trying to work out how to regenerate a carrier force in the
late 1970s that was based on ships initially laid down and designed in the 1940s
and 50s.
In 1965 the RN had five major fleet carriers in commission –
ARK ROYAL, EAGLE, HERMES, CENTAUR and VICTORIOUS. All bar the last had been
built after WW2 and were in varying materiel standards and conditions. The
ships carried a variety of airgroups built around both strike and fighter jets,
but numbers were dropping considerably as the next generation of jets entered service
that were significantly larger than their predecessors.
The aim of the CVA class was to bring into service around
three ships that could replace these vessels, and carry large numbers of aircraft
well into the 1970s and 80s. The Royal Navy at this time operated forces both
in home waters and the Med to counter the Soviets, and the Far East Fleet,
which supported operations during the ‘confrontation’ with Indonesia and wider
national operations.
During this period the UK still maintained a force of over 100,000
personnel abroad ‘East of Suez’ in a wide range of bases, airfields and dockyards
to support a myriad of security commitments and alliances aimed at countering
the risk from the Soviets. Part of this commitment included the permanent
presence of an aircraft carrier in the region.
The carriers role was both to deliver air defence, and also ‘strike’
a euphemistic term covering everything from 500lb bombs to tactical nuclear
weapons in support of wider nuclear operations. With five carriers in
commission at any one time, the RN usually had 2-3 active to meet the
challenges of operating globally, although numbers did vary.
CVA01 was a response to the challenge of larger jets,
particularly the F4 Phantom, which was simply too large to embark in meaningful
numbers on the smaller UK carriers (reportedly HERMES could embark 7 tops). The
design was intended to provide the ability to embark 30-40 jets of the F4 and Buccaneer
models which would be sufficient to cover the needs of the military well into
the 1970s and beyond.
The problem with the CVA01 design was one of affordability –
in a development that feels eerily familiar, the MOD was in financially difficult
circumstances and struggling to develop the SSBN / Polaris force, maintain the
army in Germany and deliver a new carrier force too. This was done against the
backdrop of high tempo operations in some places, plus an ongoing personnel crisis
caused by the loss of national servicemen and the move to an all-professional military.
By 1965 the plans were in deep trouble and facing likely
cancellation. The Royal Navy was looking at a range of options, including papers
on ‘a fleet without carriers’ as a serious planning option. The loss of carrier
aviation would be a significant body blow to NATO and wider allied efforts
around the world, and in an effort to help the UK out of a sticky situation, the
US Navy stepped in with a surprisingly generous offer.
In simple terms it offered the lease / sale of a couple of
modernised ESSEX class carriers (referred to in the RN papers of the day as the
HANCOCK class). The ships on offer were the USS SHANGRI LA, YORKTOWN and LEYTE,
and could be made available from 1966 – 1969.
The proposal was to provide the ships to the Royal Navy, modernise them to British standards and then use them for a period of 5-10 years to cover the gap while the RN built the CVA class carriers.
The offer made sense in a lot of ways. Firstly, from a US
perspective the three ships were shortly to become surplus to requirements and no
longer be needed operationally. At least one was already modernised to operate
the Phantom in substantial numbers, and would require seemingly little work to
bring into Royal Navy use.
The costs would also be not unreasonable, with the US
offering the sale of the SHANRI LA to the UK in 1970 would have been $16.6m
dollars (some $117m in 2021 prices) and then the cost of the refit to bring her
up to UK standards.
This offer was seen as worth studying further, and during
1965 the Royal Navy seriously investigated it. The key findings were that the
ship could be brought into RN service after a 2 year refit, and would be good
for service till at least 1975, and able to significantly enhance overall
aircraft numbers for the Fleet Air Arm.
The package of work envisaged would have seen a significant modification
internally to workshops, sensors and radars and replacement of the 5” gun
battery with sea cat missiles. The single biggest area of concern raised in the
RN study was the very poor quality accommodation and concerns about how to
improve it to meet UK standards.
The RN worked this information into a series of proposals
that resulted in the development of a number of different scenarios. In broad
terms they were built around the notion of acquiring one US carrier in the late
1960s, in order to replace HMS HERMES in the strike role.
This would result in a UK carrier force operating through to
1980 comprising of HMS EAGLE and the SHANGRI LA, with ARK ROYAL paying off by
1975 and the VICTORIOUS in 1973. HERMES would have been sold in 1970, probably for
foreign service, and CENTAUR did not feature in any plans for direct ‘like for
like’ replacement.
In total these plans would have ensured that throughout the
1970s the Royal Navy would have maintained at least two carriers available
capable of operating Phantoms and Buccaneers, while still building CVA01 at a
later date.
A number of concerns were identified with the plan though –
firstly the issue of ship availability – there was a realisation that if this happened,
then while there would be good carrier availability in the early 70s, by the
second half of the decade, there would be real availability issues given the
poor material state of both UK and US ships due to their age.
Secondly, finding sufficient manpower was deemed a major problem – it was unclear where the RN would find the nearly 1000 extra people from to crew the ship, and it was suggested that at least three frigates would need to be paid off to make this happen.
There was the longer issue identified of replacement and what
to do with the CVA01 design. If this plan was adopted, construction of the
design would slip considerably, potentially in some of the cases considered to
seeing CVA01 and 2 enter service not earlier than 1981 – 1983. In those
circumstances the UK could find itself facing a carrier gap of several years, particularly
given the predicted reliability issues that would impact on the surviving carriers.
However, paradoxically the introduction to service of the SHANGRI
LA would pose a costings challenge that would continue to make CVA01
unaffordable – the refit would be vastly more expensive than the one planned
for HERMES (the cancellation of which was seen as a key financial saving for
this option). The ship would also require more aircraft than previously
planned, putting additional pressure on aircrew numbers and the numbers of new
airframes needed – potentially making things even less affordable.
There was a wider concern that if CVA01 was deferred further,
then the RN would find itself by 1980 potentially dependent on one (and at one
stage two) ESSEX class carriers for its airpower, that the US Navy may either
want back, or refuse to provide replacements for. There was tacit recognition that
even if the RN could operate an ESSEX in the short term, in the medium term any
replacement would need to be UK designed and built, as there were unlikely to
be further UK hulls available.
Based on these challenges, and as part of the wider
affordability discussion, the Secretary of State for Defence (Dennis Healey MP)
asked for advice from the RN about what options would look like to run the
carrier force on into the 1970s, particularly if CVA01 were cancelled, or if
the RN decided to move to a future without carriers.
This led to a series of discussions inside the Royal Navy about what to do, and arguably the decisions made in this period may have been one of the greatest peacetime mistakes ever made by the Admiralty Board.
The Admirals had invested heavily in carrier airpower, and saw
the delivery of strike carriers as central to the future role and purpose of
the Royal Navy. On the one hand their
planned acquisition of three CVA01 vessels was clearly unaffordable in the
short term costings, and could only be delivered by likely fatal compromises to
the design that would render it almost ineffective.
Cancellation or deferment was looking like the only two options
on the table that made any sense – to the extent that in 1965 the Royal Navy did
draft a paper on what an RN without carriers would look like, and concluded
that if CVA01 was not assured by 1970, then the Fleet Air Arm would cease to be
credible. Indeed within this paper was a
discussion about leasing the SHANGRI LA, not as a stopgap to CVA01, but as the
final carrier to operate until about 1975 when new anti- ship missiles could
enter service and cover the gap.
This led to a view that SHANGRI LA could fill the gap, and
retain an essence of capability, pending its replacement by missiles and other
technology in the coming years. It would also retain a British carrier platform,
even in limited numbers, which could form the basis of regeneration in the
event political wills changed.
The Naval Staff had to make a judgement call on whether it
was better to recommend to the Minister that acquisition of an ESSEX class made
sense, and could be done, or if it was better to not proceed at all and accept
the end of the carrier force.
This may sound somewhat ‘cut off my nose to spite my face’
but the logic of the Royal Navy appears to have been that an interim temporary
measure would actually undermine the case and argument for CVA01. This was built
on the view that having said the carrier was so vital, to then essentially
accept a pause in its delivery of many years would imply that it may not
actually be needed after all.
In a memo from Vice Chief of the Naval Staff to the Admiralty
Board the discussion read:
“The fundamental question for the Board is one of tactics.
One the one hand it is tempting to grasp at any opportunity to run on the
Carrier force for as long as possible, even without CVA01. On the other hand we
have been adamant up until now that CVA01 is the key to any effective carrier
force which continues beyond about 1970/71. If we now suggest, before a
decision on CVA01 has been reached, that this is after all not so, then the
prospect that CVA01 may be cancelled, or at the least deferred again, will be
very real.
If we really believe that CVA01 is vital to our future
plans, it may not be in the best interests of either the Navy or the Nation to imply
that there is any sensible half way house between the premature demise of the
carriers – with all that we have said this would imply - and at least retaining the option to run
them on until the 1980s; in which case CVA01 can clearly be shown to be cost
effective”
In other words, the Royal Navy felt that it had to decide
between ‘jam today’ in the form of a temporary fix to its carrier availability
woes, and the prospects that this may actually do more long-term harm to its
ability to stay in the carrier game, or playing a very dangerous gamble of
saying that without CVA01 there was no point in staying in the game at all.
By trying to persuade Ministers that to run on carriers was
less cost effective, the gameplan seems to have been to make the case that it
was easier to build new now. A good idea until you consider that the budget was
in deep trouble.
The Royal Navy had essentially turned down the option of the
short-term carrier fix in order to stand what they felt was the best chance of keeping
carriers. Arguably a tactic that proved to be dangerously wrong as the result
was by arguing only for new build construction, the case became easier to make
that the RN could do without carriers all – by showing that it was ‘CVA01 or
bust’ it became a far more binary decision to make.
There are many lessons that can be drawn from this saga, and
these are worth thinking about in more detail.
The first is that there is an inherent risk attached to ‘buying
American / Country X’ to meet your requirements. The files are clear that the
SHANGRI LA may have been a capable vessel, but did not meet the needs of the
Royal Navy without extensive changes, and that her continued operation would require
developing a bespoke supply chain for a singleton and increasingly elderly
vessel.
It is often suggested that the UK could save money and ‘buy
US’ for various ships, but the files remind us that this provides a solution
that is not always ideal or workable. What it produces is a messy compromise
and an increased reliance on external providers who may not be able to support
in the longer term.
Had the UK gone with the ESSEX option, then its entirely
feasible that a future government could have cancelled CVA01 anyway, leaving
the RN of the late 1970s without carriers, or potentially the ability to source
replacements of equal capability. At best the drama and difficulty of the 1960s
may have been avoided for a few years, but not escaped altogether.
There is also a reminder that home grown systems may seem
more expensive up front, but can provide more overall control and better
logistics support. By building a home designed warship you are able to exercise
control on the design and fitout that works for you, and not be reliant on the
decisions taken 20-30 years previously by another nation.
It is telling for instance that one of the key RN concerns
on the ESSEX class was the wooden flight deck provision on some, a throwback to
WW2 design philosophy, but which could have a major impact on UK naval
operations in the nuclear age, and which couldn’t be fixed without significant
cost and effort.
The file makes clear that finding trained crews and securing
sufficient personnel for ships remains a perennial problem. The continued
crisis of a lack of sufficiently trained crew, and major headcount challenges
shows how the story of the Royal Navy is not one of defence cuts, but arguably
one of failure to properly manage personnel effectively.
That nearly 60 years later, the RN is still struggling with finding enough crew at the right
rank and rate to keep ships properly available and crewed implies that the
naval career management system is perennial unfit for the role it is designed
to do. Maybe the time has come to ask whether radical change is required to this
to prevent the problems occurring again?
There is a wider point on the so-called ‘sunrise and sunset’
of capabilities, which is something that the MOD has focused a lot on in the
recent Integrated Review. The early paying off of some increasingly vulnerable
platforms to fund new ones in due course, and leaving an uncomfortable gap.
These papers highlight that this was not a new action, and
that even in the mid 1960s, the Royal Navy was prepared to accept significant
risks and gaps if this meant that it could guarantee new capability in due
course. The view that the carrier force would be obsolete by 1970 without
replacement highlights the speed of change, and the need to maintain a constant
programme of replacements and updates. Failure to invest in procurement,
science and technology will leave you with an obsolescent force, whether you
like it or not.
To that end the RN decision to take risk on ‘CVA01 or bust’
makes a lot more sense – why invest scarce funds in platforms like SHANGRI LA,
knowing the costs and risks attached, when this would merely be a sticking
plaster not a solution to the looming problem?
The continued absence of funds and the battle of the
equipment programme is not a new issue too. To those with the scars and wounds
from Whitehall planning rounds, and who have drawn up options such as those seen
in the file, setting out how different costings and measures could have had dramatically
different savings, its clear that the art of delivering a balanced, properly considered
and long term strategic plan is incredibly hard.
To make short term savings in the mid 1960s, the Royal Navy had to put forward plans that would irrevocably reshape 25 years of naval development, and completely alter its long term 25 year strategy too – all to make tactical or operational level savings to budgetary plans. One lesson of CVA01 is perhaps that the MOD excels at develop beautiful strategies, but that its also extremely bad at delivering costed strategies, and that British Defence Policy is arguably a policy built around justifying whatever group of planning round options got taken, rather than being a properly thought through coherent strategy.
A cynic would argue that this appears to be the case 60 years on, where the Integrated Review has set a high bar on ambition and presence, but that the reality of an overheated equipment programme and the pain of in year savings measures will make this ever harder to deliver or achieve without massive cuts to outputs.
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Image by Ministry of Defence; © Crown copyright |
There is a lesson too about the risk of going all in on
something and not being prepared to compromise to get it. The decision by the
Navy Board to go ‘CVA01 or bust’ represented a very high risk tactic, and
arguably destroyed carrier airpower in the process – in high stakes poker, be
very certain of the risks you are taking.
Had the RN taken a more measured approach, accepting short
term compromise for long term outcomes, then it is perhaps easier to see a case
whereby CVA01 survived and entered service in the late 1970s, aided by the US
ESSEX class loan. Yet this outcome was in the eyes of the Admirals at the time bad
for the Service – leading to a series of decisions and outcomes that had very long-term
ramifications.
To those dealing with expensive and potentially failing programmes,
the lesson is clear – is it in in the interest of the Service to not look for a
way out, or to proceed at any cost with the plan? There are highly expensive
projects right now whose circumstances seem to mirror that of CVA01 and where
the outcome may have a similarly painful impact on the Service in question.
The final lesson is perhaps that jointery is ever more important.
One thing that reads loud and clear through the file is the inherent mistrust
of the RAF by the Royal Navy. The language reeks of ‘them and us’ in all that
is said, and seems intended to build a case for Naval Airpower, not maritime
airpower.
The legacy of CVA01 is of mistrust between the Services and
a myth of ‘evil RAF hurting the RN to gain control of airpower’. Even a rudimentary
reading of the files shows this to be nonsense, and the documents are clear
that the circumstances around the loss of the carriers was primarily due to the
RN leadership of the time choosing to play their hand very poorly.
It is perhaps a relief to realise that joint thinking is now
properly embedded in how the MOD works. The CVF project, by contrast was joint
from the outset and saw over 20 years of genuinely close co-operation between RN
and RAF to deliver not just ships, but fighters and ISTAR platforms as well.
Nearly 57 years after these events occurred, the file makes
for a fascinating insight into the attitudes of the Royal Navy at the time
towards a range of issues. But perhaps the most important lesson of all from
this saga is that is that you must work together to deliver what is right for
the nation, not just your own Service. Hopefully this appears to have been learned.
Thank you for spending your weekend to deliver a brilliant article.
ReplyDeleteEnlightening as always. Thank you.
ReplyDeleteI served on Ark Royal as well as Eagle and three times on Hermes, mostly with 849 Gannets. I always believed one of the biggest mistakes was not having the aircraft to take over from the Gannet, that is AEW, after all the RAF were never able to protect the fleet. It turned out a very costly error
ReplyDeleteExcellent article, as always.
DeletePersonally I think CVA-01 would have been cancelled anyway. My understanding is that by the 1966 review the requirement/funding was for just a single carrier, which meant the RN would have become a part-time carrier navy in the longer term. With no appetite for building and operating multiple carriers, a focus on the NATO ASW mission in the North Atlantic and a funding/manpower crisis that lasted right through the 1970s the writing was on the wall. No matter what short-term fixes had been devised, the tide was well and truly against fixed-wing naval aviation.
ReplyDeleteThe US did not operate Phantoms off the Essex class. Instead the ones that continued in the attack carrier role used F-8 Crusaders.
ReplyDelete