Slava Ukraini!
It has been a momentous few days, observing the collapse of
the post Cold War order and the emergence of a new epoch in global affairs. The
appalling and utterly unjustifiable invasion of Ukraine, ordered by the despot
Putin, and supported by his criminal regime is an attack on the values western society
holds dear.
It threatens to do immeasurable damage to the people of
Russia – a proud cultured people with a long history, who have suffered heavily
under Putins despotic regime. We must remember our quarrel and focus should be
the coterie who enable Putin, not the ordinary Russian.
As the war continues, a wide range of lessons and thoughts are
emerging which will shape western and wider military thinking for many years to
come. There will be time for debates, insight and wider discussion as time progresses,
and it is clear we are on the verge of potentially substantial and significant
revision to many nations approach to their defence policy and strategies.
It is clear that far from surrendering or overthrowing their
government, the Ukrainian people are doing everything in in their power to
delay, hold and pushback the enemy. The more that can be done to assist them in
this fight, the easier it will be for them to hold on against the barbarian Russian
hordes and eventually turn the tide.
There are lessons aplenty on information warfare, and the
power of social media in warfare – in particular the importance of not
revealing friendly (Ukrainian) forces, and doing everything possible to
highlight the presence of Russian forces so that they can be targeted and
destroyed.
There are wider lessons too on the clear value of sanctions,
the resurgence of NATO, and the fact that this expedition has done more to unify
the Alliance and lead to an increase in both defence spending and capability that
will be felt for decades to come. This is, in no small terms, a strategic
disaster for the Putin regime – it finds itself friendless, utterly isolated
diplomatically, with hugely crippling sanctions that will in time destroy the
ability of its defence and aerospace industry to replenish and rebuild
equipment and munitions. NATO has emerged re-energised and showing that it is willing
to stand up for what it believes in.
In the coming weeks and months there will be time to address
this in a more considered manner, but now is not that time. Right now our focus
must be purely on ensuring that all can be done by nations who believe in liberty,
democracy and freedom to stand up and support Ukraine and hold Putin and his
despotic regime to account for the slaughter being carried out in his name.
In terms of what you can do to help, there are small things
that can make a difference. If you live in a city with a Russian embassy, join
the peaceful protests outside to make them understand the anger people feel.
Join the pro-Ukraine diaspora protests so our friends living far from their
homes know that they are not along in their most desperate hour of need.
Give money to charities helping refugees flee this conflict.
Millions of people face displacement and an uncertain future, having left their
homes, possessions and life behind to flee the fascist forces approaching. We
must do all we can to offer them a new life, hope and opportunity across Europe
and make them feel welcome and valued, until the day comes when it is safe for
them to return home. Now is a time for charity and help, not angry ranting
about ‘boats in the channel’ as is so often seen on social media.
Most importantly, social media is a weapon we can all use to
win the information war. Where you see footage of Ukrainian military success,
broadcast it. Where you see footage of Russian military disaster, cheer it and retweet
it.
Now is the time to get off the fence and take a side and make a stand. The Russian Army invading Ukraine are the aggressors – if by sharing a tweet showing Russian troops locations, we can help Ukrainian forces find them, fix them and destroy them, it helps play a small part in stopping the invasion.
By showing Ukrainian success we remind them that victory
over the attacker is not impossible. We must show every small battle won, every
burning Russian tank, every little psychological advantage from the helpline for
families of Russian POWs held by Ukraine to footage of Molotov cocktails being
made.
The Russian Army right now is tired, it is struggling to
make headway and its troops are taking heavy casualties and running out of food
and fuel. It is possible to help play a small part in this by amplifying just how
exposed, vulnerable and weak the Russian position is and in undermining the
morale of their forces and families – anything that can be done to attack the
morale of the aggressor is a good thing.
We should not glorify war, nor celebrate the death of young
conscripts ordered into a futile war by an elderly tyrant dreaming of an
imagined glorious past, but we should be partisan. Every dead Russian soldier,
every knocked-out tank, every shot down transport jet means less Russian
troops, less Russian resources and less Russian chance of victory.
Simply put, this is war at its most blunt, bloody and attractional,
and every Russian casualty is a step towards winning. We must relearn again the
lesson that war is about inflicting horrific violence on some to save many others
from a worse outcome. The time for pity for those impacted will come, right now
is the time to recognise that violence is, temporarily at least, the answer to
saving millions from an unimaginably awful fate.
Do all you can to praise Ukraine and its people, and to
undermine the Russian State, Military and Regime on social media. You can play
a small part in the information war by showing the world the bravery of the
Ukraine, and the evils of the Putin Regime.
This is a fight that all of us can do something to help, because
at its heart this is fundamentally about a conflict between right and wrong,
good and evil. We must ensure that we all do as much as we can to ensure that
good prevails at all costs.
Slava Ukraini! Heroyam slava!
Very Well said, an excellent piece.
ReplyDeleteVery good advice in there Sir Humphry ,thank you .
ReplyDeleteThat the Russian people are unable to watch the reality of this war on their TV's exposes how weak Putin really is. He is terrified of his own people's reaction to this invasion. Even frightened of his own cabinet and assistants getting near to him. The instability of Putin is no longer tolerable for Russia. The Russian's are clever and will find a way to deal with him.
ReplyDeleteAll bad things come to pass.
Thank you Sir H.
At para 13 you state that this war will be .....bloody and attractional...! Did you mean ATTRITIONAL?
ReplyDelete