Why The Royal Navy Does Not Need New ASW Corvettes
Is the answer to the Royal Navy’s challenges more, less capable,
ships, or fewer but more capable ships? A simple question but one that has been
at the centre of naval policy making agenda for decades now.
At its heart is the difficult question about whether the
Royal Navy is best placed to meet the many global operational challenges it faces
by investing in a small but highly capable force of escort ships, able to
operate in every threat environment against peer competitors, or whether it
invests more in a larger force of less capable platforms which increase its
presence around the world.
Underpinning this argument is a sense by many commentators that
what the Navy needs is more ships, and that the only way to get this is to invest
in buying lots of smaller ships now to improve overall levels of capability.
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Image by Ministry of Defence; © Crown copyright |
This argument was recently made in an article
by respected defence commentator Nicholas Drummond, who argued that what
was required was a force of cheaper corvette style vessels. Perhaps up to 20
would be a highly effective way of providing basic ASW defence and also increasing
hulls for operations around the world. Drawing his inspiration from the WW2 ‘FLOWER’
class, he notes that the RN was able to quickly build ships that provided a
basic level of defence in an all out general war.
It is tempting to see this as a strong argument for the
Royal Navy – build lots of little ships, individually cheap, but which when
brought together provide a level of coherent defensive capability against threats
that would potentially deter a submarine captain.
The problem though is that ASW today is a very different
beast from WW2 and the early Cold War. During WW2 the submarine was effectively
a surface ship which could submerge for short periods of time to conduct an
attack. In the Battle of the Atlantic German vessels would often attack on the surface,
particularly at night, or would only be operationally effective for short
periods of time when submerged.
In those circumstances the FLOWER class was an effective deterrent
– with limited surface battery and speed, it could easily keep up with the
German submarines, and project sufficient firepower to engage them as equals.
It could force a submarine to the surface after a long hunt when the need to recharge
batteries became too great, and it could present a credible threat to the
German forces. As the war developed and larger numbers of ships and aircraft came
on stream with more capability, the RN, RCN and USN were able to effectively hunt and destroy these forces with
relative ease.
Today though the threat is utterly different – a credibly
handled submarine will not need to surface to attack, and it possesses longer
endurance, longer ranged weapon systems and better means of identifying its pursuers.
Modern submarines are also significantly quieter than their predecessors,
making detection difficult and the certainty of getting a kill limited.
The Falklands War, the last time an ASW campaign was
conducted, highlights how difficult it was, almost 40 years ago, to conduct a campaign
against relatively modern submarines (and in turn how hard it was for modern
conventional submarines to operate against an effective opponent).
The modern nuclear submarine is an enormously capable weapon
system and utterly removed from the one of WW2. The problem is that in the
popular imagination some people still assume that future ASW is going to be
about large convoys sailing through the Atlantic Ocean, with enemy submarines
getting close enough to attack and in turn be deterred by small escort vessels.
There are arguably two types of ASW threats out there today.
The littoral threat, primarily from SSKs in coastal waters or confined areas –
for example in the Med. The other threat is the so-called ‘deep water’ battle,
primarily in the deep ocean involving hunting nuclear submarines. The former is something that many navies may
worry about – handling a single SSK near their waters. The latter threat is the
most complex in its nature and is the one that the UK needs to be able to fight
if it wishes to remain a blue water navy and SSBN operator.
The reality is that modern ASW is not something that can be
done cheaply or via a simple platform. A credible and effective ASW frigate requires three key assets, firstly the sonar processing power to identify, track and
prosecute an attack against an extremely quiet target that does not want to be
found. Secondly, it needs the means to deliver this attack as far away from the
escort ship as possible – which calls for a platform capable of operating a
long range helicopter capable of prosecuting an attack. Finally to prevent
detection and attack, the frigate is required to be as quiet as possible to
avoid notifying submarines of its presence – this requires extensive silencing and
mounting of machinery to prevent it giving away a ships presence.
In turn these three characteristics raise the cost of the
platform. Modern sonar equipment is incredibly expensive – particularly if you
want to opt for things like Towed Array Sonars. If you want it to be able to work
effectively against a highly capable target, you need to be prepared to spend a
lot of money on it. There may be plenty of ‘cheap’ ASW frigate designs out
there, but they almost certainly skimp on the complex underpinning sonar and
software architecture required to be effective – and they are not intended to
go up against peer threats like the latest Russian SSNs.
In the same vein while some of the designs on the market may
have a flight deck or hangar for a small aircraft, what they are not cleared
for is operating large Merlin scale helicopters. These are an essential part of
the ASW battle – intended to travel quickly to successfully prosecute any
contacts, the Merlin is at the heart of the modern Royal Navy frigates ASW
weaponry.
The problem though is Merlin is a very big helicopter – when
you stand alongside one you realise it is, literally, as tall as a house. This
immediately imposes constraints on the design of the ship you want to operate it
from – the hangar and support facilities need to be big enough to maintain it. Additionally,
to make full use of the phenomenal capability of the Merlin, you need to have invested fully
in the sensors and systems required to make it effective. A failure to do so means
the value and utility of the helicopter and the ships is massively reduced.
The two problems here are firstly there simply aren’t enough
Merlins in the Fleet to spare for use on a Corvette style platform. The Merlin
is arguably in terms of capability a ‘flying ASW frigate’ and its use at sea is
focused on ASW platforms and the Carrier. With only 30 Merlins available, and
none likely to be available or affordable, putting them on a barely capable ASW
corvette makes absolutely no sense.
Even if the money existed for a purchase of corvettes, there
would certainly be no money available for the purchase of more Merlins (or the
refit of the ‘orphan batch’ of 8 that were not upgraded). A proper ASW platform
needs a helicopter to be effective, and Corvettes would not provide this
capability.
Secondly, the problem is one of cost and integration. A lot
of commentators see the suggestion that a ship design has a hangar and assume
this means it can operate a helicopter, so in turn this means a cheap design
could do ASW. This isn’t necessarily the case – a cheap design will not have
the necessary ability to communicate and relay information – the helicopter is
an isolated combatant, not an integrated part of an ASW operation. This massively
reduces its value and utility.
Finally the risk when looking at ‘cheap’ designs is assuming
that they all represent the same level of survivability and capability under
the hull as a modern ASW frigate. It is easy to look at a manufacturers model,
read the weapon systems embarked and then ask ‘why if this is £250m does the RN
need really expensive ASW frigates like Type 26’?
The reality is that beneath the surface there are enormous differences
between these designs. A modern RN ASW frigate is designed to fight extremely
capable opponents, such as the Russian SSN
force, in the North Atlantic in very difficult weather conditions. They are designed
to be as quiet as possible and reduce the amount of noise they make, and be as difficult
to detect as possible. They are also built to different standards of survivability
and operating limits.
Can a cheap Corvette safely operate and fight in the same
conditions as a larger Type 26 frigate? If you read ‘The Cruel Sea’ one of the
key things to note was how often operations were affected by the weather,
making it impossible to actually fight. Arguably the primary focus of RN ASW
operations is to protect the SSBN force, which requires the ability to go to
sea in all weathers. A Type 26 is big partly because it is designed to operate
safely and effectively in these conditions, including issues like safely launching/recovering
aircraft and ensuring that the crew are able to fight and not be paralysed by
sea sickness. In the cruel Atlantic seas, size matters.
A cheap frigate design like a corvette may sound useful, but
if it makes more noise than a party of 30 toddlers who’ve all been fed Haribo and
espressos then let loose with a puppy, then
it is no use. It will struggle to detect hostile submarines, and the enemy will
hear it coming a long time in advance, providing enough time to stop laughing
and either evade without being detected, or sink the ship and continue on their
mission.
Additionally, a cheap corvette without a decent capability
to engage the opponent at distance will in wartime soon be a cheap ‘ex corvette’.
Unless you are properly silenced and able to sneak up on an opponent, then the
reality is that if you do not possess effective long range weaponry, then by
the time you are close enough to attack a submarine, that same submarine could
easily have sunk you.
The days of massed frigates scurrying about firing Limbo mortars
at a patch in the water while ferociously pinging away as the convoy sails past
have pretty much gone now. The modern submarine can stand off at a significant distance
and fire torpedoes or anti-ship cruise missiles, and their biggest concern is
the risk that this activity draws attention to themselves. The game is completely
different.
The reality of ASW is that it is about both players in the game
wanting to be invisible to their opponent, while also being able to see their
own opponent and do damage without being spotted. Cheap ASW corvette designs do
not offer this ability and in the modern ASW environment are arguably more a
liability than an asset.
The Royal Navy has tried twice in the Cold War to build a
truly cheap ASW frigate that could be mass produced and meet the challenges of
ASW. The first was the Type 14 Blackwood Frigate which was produced as a ‘second
rate’ utility frigate in the 1950s. Its aim was to provide a class of ship that
could escort convoys and also dish out punishment to an attacking submariner.
In some ways the class was a useful idea – in this period
Soviet submarines were predominantly offshoots of WW2 German designs, and the
technology available meant that they would need to come relatively close to a
convoy to attack it. At this point having a mass of hulls with limbo mortars to
try and sink or deter them away made a lot of sense. But, operationally the
class was a failure, as submarine technology advanced it made them unable to remain
relevant. The ships were quickly relegated out of the ASW role and into fishery
protection or trials ships and disposed of in short order. It is also worth
noting that although classed as Frigates, the Type 14 dimensions were notably smaller
than the modern RIVER class OPV in service with the RN.
The second time that the RN tried for a genuine utility design
of ASW frigate was in the early 1980s where to combat the threat of Soviet
nuclear submarines in the North Atlantic, the RN developed various designs
involving little more than a Towed Array Sonar and a Merlin helicopter.
Operating in groups, these ships would have clustered around an RFA supply ship
for stores, and been intended for a short life of around 18 years in the North
Atlantic.
The aim was to produce a design that could protect convoys
and provide efficient ASW to support the Type 22 frigates, which were at the
time the lead ASW escorts of excellence for the RN. Following
a variety of design changes to reflect operational experience and changes,
the design eventually entered service as the Type 23 Frigate…
This perhaps serves as a useful reminder that when looking
at what the RN needs for ASW today, it is not possible to develop an effective
design that can do what is needed of it on the cheap.
It is also worth remembering that for all the talk of hull
numbers and growing the fleet to meet the threat, bringing ASW corvettes into
service does not solve the very basic problem that the Royal Navy does not have
enough people at the right level of experience to operate and crew these
vessels.
ASW skills are very niche and rely on a lot of training and
experience to get right. It is a slow business to learn, and one that requires
people to spend many years learning how to fight a combined ‘all arms’ battle involving
ships, friendly submarines, helicopters and maritime patrol aircraft plus allies
and a complex, and at times overwhelming deluge of data against a foe that you
will never usually see in person, and whose only sign of existence is a blurry reading
on a sonar display. It is an intensely slow operation with no visible reward –
and also one that is utterly critical.
For the RN, training and retaining enough sonar operators
and PWO(U)’s to fight this battle, let alone the wider ships company required
to operate the vessels would break the modern navy. There simply isn’t the
manpower or structural capacity at the moment to absorb lots of extra small vessels
in service. To meet this would require a change in manpower policy and operational
focus back towards the navy of the 1970s and 80s which focused predominantly on
being an ASW striking force par excellence.
Additionally, for all the talk of building extra ships, the
simple question of industrial capacity is rarely considered. There is a finite
supply chain in the UK and adding 20 ships to an already busy ship building programme
does not mean that industry could cope. It would either need to ramp up
facilities and expect its second or third tier contractors to expand to do
likewise (thus raising the cost), or draw out delivery over such a long period so
as to make the extra ships of little meaningful value.
People usually focus on the yards where the ships are being
built to assume spare capacity exists, but it is important to remember that the
hull is merely a vessel to transport the innards of the ship. It is likely that
there are likely to be a number of pinch points within the supply chain that
would slow down construction timelines, as the physical capacity does not exist
to build the innards of the ships (such as the sensors and weapons) at a rate
that is credible.
In reality, while it sounds impressive to suggest that the Navy
acquire a fleet of cheap corvettes to solve its ASW problems, such a suggestion
is likely to do more harm than good. These vessels would either be so cheap as
to lack capacity to do the job (and thus making them essentially floating targets
like the Type 14), or they would grow in cost to the point where they became
highly capable and thus vastly more expensive (like the Type 23).
The wider issue is that the ASW mission is vastly different
to the Cold War or WW2. There are not dozens of hostile submarines poised to
come into our waters to interrupt convoys. The submarines out there are likely
to be limited in number and probably extremely capable and well handled. For
example, while Russia may be a barely average despotic regime with a declining
economy and population, with an Army that for all the myths about it seems
incapable of defeating a variety of rebels, an intelligence service that manages
to meet new levels of amateurism in its bungled handling of the Salisbury
poisoning, and a Navy that cannot even refit its own aircraft carrier without
breaking it, they do possess some reasonably good submarines.
The small number of modern Russian submarines out there
would pose a threat in conflict, but this is not a threat that a cheap corvette
could easily address. Similarly, the days of sailing REFORGER convoys over the
Atlantic are gone forever – the ships don’t exist and NATO hasn’t tried doing
convoy work in decades. Purchasing corvettes to solve a mission that no longer
exists doesn’t seem a good use of public money.
What is sensible though is to look at the RN’s current plans
for addressing the ‘high / low’ force to meet its needs. The future RN will be
an exceptionally capable force, built around
the Type 26/45 combination to protect the carrier and amphibious force
and also handle ASW needs, it will rely on the Type 31 and River Class to conduct
the lower level engagement and ‘peacetime hostilities’ missions that encompass
so much of the RN’s business.
The future focus should not be on inventing a class of ship
to solve this problem, but instead focusing resources on ensuring that the Type
23/26 combination remain a world beating ASW frigate, and in the unlikely event
of spare cash, continue to invest in the Type 31/River class as a capable
general purpose frigate.
A corvette construction programme would not solve any of the
challenges that the RN has today. It doesn’t solve a gaping hole in the nations
defences, nor would it necessarily provide ships for the needs that the Navy
has of it. An ASW corvette would be of little use in a winters gale in the
North Atlantic tracking a Russian submarine that could threaten our nuclear deterrent
if it cannot operate the helicopters needed to find it, or possess the suitable
sensors to track it.
At best it would represent a halfway house that would suck
up much needed cash for other programmes to provide a force of ships that the
RN doesn’t have enough people to crew properly and which would not make the UK
a safer nation as a result. In practical terms it would be the equivalent of
purchasing a convertible Austin Allegro today and stating that you now owned a
convertible sports car. A result that would have been great for British Leyland
forty years ago, but not necessarily the security of the nation today…
Brilliant article but I will take you up on one point, you talk about the industrial capacity, and how it is currently at high capacity, that simply isn't true, there are so many yards out there that are on the verge of closure, one already has at appledore, the only places with a full order is the Clyde and barrow in Furness, you have on top of that-Rosyth, which will be vulnerable once the QEs are done, a few refits won't do much. Mersey-they are doing well at present but that will change very soon without orders. Tyne-many remnants of shipyards are still there, naval orders could help immensely, but we don't want a repeat of the Bays. Appledore-still there, but not for long. Belfast-looking to get back into the shipbuilding business, so much capacity is laying dormant there. Portsmouth you could add to this list-shipbuilding was revived briefly with HMS Clyde and some exports, this could happen again.
ReplyDeleteThere is so much capacity in the UK the little twiddle of orders the RN gives currently isn't enough!
Agree that it would be quite easy to increase the UK's shipbuilding capacity if building steel hulls could solve the problem. Steel hulls are cheap but sensors and weapons are expensive to design, build, install and operate. An ill-equipped steel hull merely provides a target.
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteI am interested in what AI can provide to the A/S battle. The USN is working on entirely autonomous AI 'boats' with long endurance. Whereas I am sceptical of their capabilities in North Atlantic deep ocean I can see they might work in the littoral.
ReplyDeleteI hope that with the introduction of T26 the RN buys standoff medium range A/S Missile capability.