The Russians Are Coming (Yet Again)
Russian transits
of the Channel are becoming like groundhog day. A small group of usually
elderly ships, sometimes accompanied by a rescue tug steams up the channel on
their way home. The Royal Navy sends out an appropriate vessel to politely
steam in company with them and then carries on once they leave our area of
interest. Sometimes this is a frigate, other times an OPV and occasionally an
MCMV. Finally, social media and the press erupt in FURY as they decide that the
UK has somehow been humiliated and its all someone else’s fault, and the usual
crowd of rent-a-quote retired Admirals are wheeled out to say, ‘it wouldn’t have
happened in my day’.
The latest
example is that of the transit of a small group comprising an oiler, a landing
ship and an AGI (intelligence collector) which sailed through Channel waters
last week. Given that these ships old, slow and posed a negligible military threat
to these islands, the RN decided to send one of its hugely capable River class
Offshore Patrol Vessels to conduct a patrol offshore and escort them. In this
case HMS MERSEY spent approximately 72hrs in their company before parting ways.
Yet according to the Telegraph there were ‘serious questions to answer’ about
the circumstances.
Escorting
Russians through the Channel is a very routine part of operations for the RN –
they’ve done it thousands, probably tens of thousands of times over the years.
The only time it went wrong is in 1904 when a Russian force on its way to the Far East
attacked a group of trawlers off the Dogger Bank, mistaking them for Japanese
gunboats and killing three fishermen. Other than that tragic incident, they’ve
generally behaved themselves.
These transits
will get an appropriate level of response to the threat posed – when a major task
group sails near the UK, such as one led by the KUZNETZOV, then the UK tends to
send out larger shadow forces to monitor the situation. When you get an utterly
routine group of ships, then they tend to send an OPV or another vessel.
On the transit
in question, the RN had plenty of ships at sea in the Channel that day, including
a number of frigates. But escort ship programmes are very tightly driven in
order to meet challenging deadlines and goals, such as working up to get to sea
to relieve another ship on time, or to deploy operationally. Taking 3 days out
of that schedule to slowly sail up the Channel at 10kts is not the optimal use
of a several hundred-million-pound warship, and actually damages its ability to
deploy operationally.
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Image by Ministry of Defence; © Crown copyright |
There is a
Fleet Ready Escort, which is a Type 23 or 45 permanently at high readiness for
sea and operations in all respects. But activating this means that at some
point she’ll need to come back alongside and conduct stores and maintenance.
Sending ships to sea is also expensive, consuming fuel, supplies and activating
payment of various allowances that push up salary costs for sailors (and over
time some of these cumulative allowances become extremely expensive to pay). In
an age where the MOD is cutting mobile phone use and car hire to pay for DREADNOUGHT,
every penny counts. Does it make financial sense or operational sense to deploy
a frigate, with the 180 people onboard to sit in the Channel for 3 days doing
nothing more challenging than keeping station and offering to call the AA in
the event of a Russian breakdown. Its like sending a Ferrari to monitor a
street cleaning vehicle around your local neighbourhood – fun, but
frustratingly pointless.
By contrast the
River class OPV is the ideal platform to conduct this sort of task, able to stay
at sea in excess of 300 days per year and conduct a variety of discrete
operations, often in very unpleasant weather conditions. There is perhaps a little
bit of snobbery by some observers about OPVs, with people perhaps remembering
the very old Ton class boats doing fishery protection or the Island class in
the 1980s. Wonderful vessels, but old, primitive and often very small and slow.
The
modern River class is a significantly more capable type of ship, with greater
range, speed and capability than their predecessors and they have a flight
deck. The Batch 2, the first of which HMS FORTH is about to arrive
at Portsmouth, with another four under construction, is even more capable,
resembling in dimensions and capability a Cold War frigate, such as the Type 14
or Type 81 rather than a simple patrol vessel.
This comment may come as a surprise to some, but if you look at the level of capability that many of the RN frigates had in the 1960s, it was arguably relatively limited. The Type 14 were designed as a 2nd rate ASW frigate, but quickly moved onto essentially OPV and fishery duties. Armed with 3 x 40mm guns from WW2 and a pair of Limbo mortars (think WW2 depth charge thrower), they had limited capabilities and were apparently poor seakeepers. These vessels though were classed as frigates, despite being smaller, the same length and with the same range as the Batch 2 River class OPVs. No one would suggest a River class is the same capability as a Leander or Type 21, but it is worth noting that they present a level of capability in excess of what the RN considered to be a 'frigate'.
For the RN,
these ships are the perfect means to conduct routine escort operations. They
have a ‘third watch’ crew system which means they can stay at sea longer than a
frigate on often very routine patrols. The ability
of CLYDE and the Batch 2’s to embark a helicopter helps give them additional
flexibility, and they can handle any of the myriad of maritime security tasks
that would be encountered in UK waters, and which a Frigate would add little
extra military capability for (e.g. escorting, fishery inspections, border
patrols etc). These ships are brilliant at what they do, and that is why HMS
MERSEY was the right ship for the job.
There has been
some suggestion online that somehow these ships are not able to defend
themselves, and that this makes them useless. It is often forgotten that 99.9%
of a warships life (often 100%) is spent not fighting. There is a myriad of
complex tasks that need to be done, which necessitate a warship, but do not
need full on warfighting in high end conflict capability. This is where OPV’s,
particularly the River class, are so valuable – able to do the bulk of the
maritime tapestry work at a fraction of the cost of a Frigate.
There were some
comments on social media that these ships are underarmed, and require a 76mm
gun to make them more ‘credible’. It is hard to understand why this would make
sense as a requirement. If you look at the need for surface gunnery, the RN will
use its weapons either for high end naval gunfire support (firing on land), or
potentially anti-surface ship action (such as in the Falklands where a Type 21
sank an Argentine tanker). At the lower calibre end, these 30mm weapons could
be used for deterrence (firing warning or disabling shots), responding to fast
moving close in threats and also general support.
Adding a 76mm
gun on what is intended to be a cheap platform does not provide an equally cheap
uplift in capability. You must buy the mounts, refit the ships (eating into
their available margin of space for upgrades), probably alter the internal
design that doesn’t have space for a 76mm gunbay and magazines, which in turn
would necessitate a major costly refit, taking her out of service for a long period
of time. You’d have to create a cadre of ratings to operate and maintain the
gun, meaning new training courses and procedures, and it would put more
pressure on an already stretched manpower plot to get suitably qualified people
in the right positions to do this. In other words, you’re spending a lot of time
and money to fit a 76mm gun, without a clear idea of what it is you’ll be doing
with it.
This is before
you consider that these ships lack the sophisticated combat management systems
larger Frigates and Destroyers have, so their ability to make maximum use of
the system will be reduced. It encourages dangerous thinking too – that by
fitting a slightly larger ‘proper gun’ you have a got a ‘proper ship’ to go in
harms way, and then task them accordingly. If an OPV found itself operating in
a war zone as part of a Task Group, something has gone very, very badly wrong.
These are not vessels designed to fight in high end conflicts, nor to conduct
surface gunnery actions with hostile warships. Accordingly, it is very hard to
see what operational benefit is derived from this sort of ‘upgrade’. It is also
ironic that many people who champion this sort of idea of spending huge sums of
money to fix a problem that doesn’t exist, are often the same ones who moan
about MOD wasting money.
There is a
wider consideration too in that you don’t always want a frigate to be on hand
to escort ships. The fact that a Russian intelligence collection vessel was in
the force implies that it had the means to conduct collection operations by a
variety of means. Is it necessarily sensible or appropriate to put a hugely
complex escort ship, which relies on use of the electronic wavelength to do its
business, actively alongside a Russian ship probably designed to scour these
wavelengths for usable information? Sometimes simpler is better.
The final
observation is that Russia does disinformation very well, and this sort of
relentless negativity about RN capability plays into their hands brilliantly.
By constantly worrying in the press that the UK is not able to send a specific capability
to sea, despite this not being the case, it
helps undermine public confidence in the armed forces and their ability
to keep the UK safe. If you were a hostile power, keen to maintain an
information advantage over your potential foes, then regularly sailing elderly ships
through the channel in an effort to cause a period of national self-doubt over
the state of the Royal Navy, despite there being no need for such doubt is a
brilliant way to achieve an easy propaganda victory. The sort of media coverage
and social media commentary seen here is gifting an information operations win
to Russia, a nation that excels at such sort of activity, without them actually having to do anything themselves beyond sail a ship.
This latest
incident is another reminder of the growing challenges of conducting military
operations in the 21st century. The RN sent the right ship to
conduct the right mission in order to let other RN ships focus on their own jobs.
Yet in the eyes of ill informed spectators and others seeking to make capital,
this story has become an opportunity to denigrate and embarrass the Royal Navy,
rather than listen to the very good reasons why it has not in any way failed.
The lack of an offensive counter media strategy, pointing out why an OPV is absolutely
the right ship for the job is notable here. This is yet another instance where
the Royal Navy has done the job it is meant to do and still people think it has
failed. What an utterly depressing place to be.
Got to point out that Typhoon in the picture wasn't armed with any AA missile or smart weapons that could attack the old Russian ships either. Was it totally defenseless? One wouldn't know.
ReplyDeleteThat photo of the Typhoon is over 10 years old! I have it as my desktop background. It is also the 2-seat trainer, so most likely unarmed!
DeleteI have to disagree that this could be Russian propaganda. What would be the pay off? If the Russians succeed then the end result could be public demand for higher defence expenditure and a more capable armed forces, making the Russians' job harder. Sometimes we are too keen to look for Russian interference when there isn't any. The origin of the 'fury' is more likely to be closer to home.
ReplyDeleteThanks! Sorry, perhaps I wasn't quite clear enough. I in no way think these articles are Russian disinformation, but I do think they help subtly build the narrative that helps undermine UK attitudes to defence, and as such could be construed as 'useful idiots' that help the Russian case. This would benefit Russia for no effort on their part.
DeletePeople often see propaganda or even 'hegemonic discourse' where a far more rational and accurate explanation lies in journalistic news-values. This story fits with an existing off-the-shelf narrative of growing Russian threat, it speaks to a wider concern regarding funding, it allows them to use a few pretty pictures, it’s easy and cheap to tell, nobody is going to sue, and it’s click-bait. Interestingly, I would imagine the source of the story is the MoD, or one of its supporters, rattling a begging-bowl in the face of cuts to budgets. And yes, I do the media-expert-thing for a living.
DeleteYou have to remember that the principal target for Russian disinformation are the Russians themselves who must accept the hardships that come with sanctions Putins expensive Military build up that they can't afford. An increase in UK defence spending plays into this.
ReplyDeleteAwesome,
ReplyDeleteThank you so much for sharing such an awesome blog...
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And what is more - and we shall never know - the silent service could well have been monitoring many of these Russian movements and quietly gathering useful intel while the media trumpet away in ignorance.
ReplyDeleteYour article is correct, but the main issue is as mentioned in the last paragraph.
ReplyDeleteThe RN, and the UK/NATO in general, is lacking a current offensive counter media section.
Such a group needs the equivalent of a modern Sefton Delmer to run it, and really needs to have a full-on black propaganda orientation.
Media manipulation by any potential enemy, or the benefit from media manipulation by any such entity, is the prelude to eventual further action - simply by the process of either eroding a support base or causing it to focus attention in the wrong area.
Although money is tight in the MOD, now would be a good time to caste an eye around for any media savvy talent in the defence estate, and even further afield in the media industry to try to find a new Sefton Delmer.
It would be a benefit to the UK if the MOD take this seriously.
You must be talking about the two Steregushchiy-class frigates Soobrazitelny and Boiky in the Channel
ReplyDeleteShips speed 27kn – faster than these OPVs
Amongst other weapons, also armed with
Anti-ship missiles Mach 0.8–Mach 0.95 – range 300 km (160 nmi) 'Uranus', SS-N-25 'Switchblade', GRAU 3M24 http://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/missile-threat-and-proliferation/missile-proliferation/russia/kh-35-ss-n-25-switchblade/
Paket-NK Anti submarine http://eng.ktrv.ru/production_eng/323/507/525/
Nothing to be concerned about, after all we all know that Russia never launches surprise attacks on other countries
1. Kosovo (1999 – 2008)
2. Bosnia (1992 – 2007)
9. Syria (2012)
We will not mention any of the others, especially not mention one of the most recent ones, because the 9,000 that entered Ukraine were actually on holiday – Putin said so, and he would never not play cricket with the British either